A comprehensive analysis of solar cycles combining historical observations with modern data analysis to predict future solar activity. The study challenges the simplified 11-year cycle concept, presen
ting evidence of complex patterns and using SARIMA and mathematical models to forecast Solar Cycles 25 and 26.
Reasons to Read -- Learn:
how solar cycle prediction has evolved from ancient Babylonian observations to modern statistical models, with detailed examples of how different civilizations tracked and interpreted solar phenomena over millennia.
how to analyze and forecast solar activity using real-world data from NOAA, including practical implementations of SARIMA models and sinusoidal mathematical functions for time series prediction.
complex solar cycle patterns beyond the basic 11-year cycle, including the Waldeimer effect, Gleissberg cycle, and Suess-de Vries cycle, which affect solar activity over decades to centuries.
12 min readauthor: Pau Blasco i Roca
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